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ISCS WORKING GROUP 3 PROJECTS

I) Meetings:

FIRST ISCS WORKSHOP: 1998

The first ISCS Workshop was held in Nagoya, Japan in July 1998. At this time the working groups met for the first time. The papers presented by the WG3 participants are included in a volume of Advances in Space Research devoted to the ISCS meeting to be published soon.

SHINE WORKSHOPS: 1999, 2000, 2001

A number of ISCS WG3 members have participated in the SHINE Workshops held in Boulder Colorado in June 1999, Lake Tahoe in June 2000, and Snowmass, CO in June 2001. D. Webb is on the SHINE Steering Committee and has helped to organize each of these meetings.

SHINE COLLABORATIONS

Webb also helps organize the solar and heliospheric aspects of SHINE Community-wide Collaborations. At present there are two such collaborations:

1) The Joint SHINE-GEM-CEDAR Magnetic Storms Campaign. The focus of the campaign is on the Geoeffectiveness of Coronal Mass Ejections. The goal is to compare and contrast a small number of well-observed magnetic cloud events to isolate and understand important science issues associated with the generation of CMEs, their association with interplanetary magnetic clouds, the interaction of magnetic clouds with the interplanetary medium, and the response of the terrestrial environment Presently we are studying 3 halo CME-storm events. Meetings have been held in conjunction with the SHINE, GEM and CEDAR annual meetings in 1999 and 2001 and at the Spring AGU in 2000 in Washington, DC., at which we organized a special session.

2) The SCOSTEP S-RAMP September 1999 Space Weather Month. The purpose of this campaign is to study one or several space weather events from their initiation at the sun to their impacts at the Earth including effects on space-based and ground-based worldwide assets and assessment of the accuracy of forecasting techniques. Special features of this campaign are: 1) Broad international cooperation 2) As complete as possible space-based and ground-based observations of the event. 3) Encouraging involvement of the user communities both in the planning and execution of the campaign. 4) Encouraging participation of the forecasting community. The first workshop on results from the campaign was held at the First S-RAMP Conference in Sapporo, Japan in October 2000. Electronic Workshops for the post-event analysis phase are being developed using the Univ. of Michigan SPARC system.

IUGG/IAGA: 1999

WG3 was a co-convener of Symposium GA4.02 on "CMEs, Eruptions and Flares: Onsets and Relationships" at the IUGG/IAGA meeting held in July 1999 in Birmingham, England. This session was chaired by B. Schmieder and D. Webb, G. Simnett and S. Plunkett, all WG3 members, were co-conveners. The papers from this symposium were published in a special issue of JASTP, vol. 62, no. 16, November 2000. Schmieder, Webb and B. Thompson were guest editors.

ISCS01: 2001

WG3 helped to organize the main sessions and speakers for the second ISCS Workshop held in Longmont, CO in June 2001. We also met jointly with WG2 in separate breakout meetings. A report on the WG3 aspects of these meetings is here.

FUTURE MEETINGS

WG3 will participate in the following forthcoming meetings. Others may be added in the future.

II) Individual Projects:

Simon Plunkett:

Working on statistical studies of the relationship between EUV and white light observations of CMEs (mainly spatial distributions in latitude and longitude) and a detailed study of the large filament eruption and CME on June 2, 1998. This study uses ground-based H-alpha observations from Ondrejov and SOHo EIT and LASCO data. Published in Solar Physics, 194, 371, 2000.

Harjit Ahluwalia:

Projects: 1) Our prediction for Solar Cycle 23 is right on the mark! It followed cycle 20 very closely since its onset in May 1996; for the last 7 months its timeline has veered closer to that of cycle 17 as we predicted in our JGR ( v.103, p.12103, 1998) paper. Last month the activity was high which may mean that solar max may occur in the later half of this year(?). 2) We have traced the cause of 3 cycle quasiperiodicity in Ap to IMF (cc = 0.8). Not surprisingly the best correlation (cc = 0.9) is obtained between Ap and BV^2. 3) Two peaks per SSN cycle structure in Ap data is traced to the solar polar field reversal epochs; the shorter the time for the reversal the deeper the minimum separating the two Ap peaks.

Takeo Kosugi:

1) Yohkoh has been fully operational and is continuously observing a variety of coronal activity including flares and arcade formation events. Please visit our homepage at: http://www.solar.isas.ac.jp. 2) The Yohkoh HXT (Hard X-ray Telescope) Group has published a databook "The Yohkoh HXT Image Catalogue, October 1991 - August 1998". This databook is available upon request to the Nobeyama Radio Observatory or to kosugi@laputa2.solar.isas.ac.jp.

Igor Veselovsky:

Projects involving Dissipative CME Processes. The main results of this work are as follows: 1) Macroscopic magnetohydrodynamic and microscopic kinetic processes are essential in different proportions for eruptive processes initiated in the solar atmosphere at low/high altitudes respectively. 2) Radiative dominated (flare-like) and solar wind dominated (CME-like) eruptions are delimited by the specific dimensionless parameter "Ve" - the inverse ratio of the Cox-Tucker losses function to the solar wind energy flow density associated with a transient event under consideration. 3) A free magnetic energy of the corona and electric currents there are rather independent dynamical factors which are important for the CME initiation and self-organization processes. The evolving magnetic structures in the photosphere are also important but not sufficient for predictions of this process in all cases, as it is often believed. Governing equations are nonlinear and solutions may have or not have current sheets and current jets needed for the initiation. In short, the dynamical photospheric fields does not determine the coronal processes uniquely and additional information is needed.

Two other works: 1) Delannee C., Koutchmy S., Veselovsky I.S., Zhukov A.N.(1998) Coronal Plasmoid Dynamics. I. Dissipative MHD Approach. Astronomy and Astrophys.V.329.#3. 1111- 1118. Observations of the coronal plasmoid during the 1991 solar eclipse with CFHT telescope are interpreted based on the Dissipative MHD theory. Magnetic stresses are shown to be viable candidates for the driving forces of the coronal plasmoid.

2) Veselovsky I.S., Dmitriev A.V., Suvorova A.V.(1998). Average SolarWind and Interplanetary Magnetic Field Parameters at the Earth's Orbit During the Last Three Solar Cycles. Solar System Research. V.32.#4.310-315. Regular as well as irregular long-term variations of the heliospheric plasma and magnetic field parameters are analyzed using different statistical and spectral methods. Solar rotation and solar cycle manifestations are evaluated together with clear longer term trends and chaotic components in all parameters. The five - year wave in the solar wind density with larger values just before and after the solar cycle maxima is found to be the dominant feature over the 11-year wave, which is less pronounced for the solar wind density at the Earth' orbit. The interpretation is given based on concepts of the solar wind origins mainly from magnetically open, closed and intermittent structures on the Sun.

Dave Webb:

Projects: 1) Organization of above meetings and campaigns on space weather subjects. 2) Paper on "The relationship of Halo CMEs, Magnetic Clouds, and Magnetic Storms" by Webb, Cliver, Crooker, St. Cyr and Thompson published in JGR, 105, 7491, 2000. 3) Study on comparing solar arcade and filament and magnetic cloud/flux rope structures for the May 12-15, 1997 halo CME-cloud- storm. Paper published in JGR, 105, 27,251, 2000. 4) Study of spatial and temporal overlap of two CMEs in white light, EUV and soft Xray images. 5) Study of evidence of magnetic disconnection of field lines trailing LASCO CMEs. 6) Studies comparing geoeffectiveness of filament eruptions and coronal arcades. 7) Study comparing halo CMEs with magnetic clouds.

If you have project updates to add, email a brief summary to Dave Webb or George Simnett.


Last revised: September 13, 2001